High-Conviction Portfolio · Defence
50+ stocks tracked10 make the cut

Europe is rearming for a decade.We own the companies taking the orders.

Ten conviction holdings from 50+ tracked. Every Add, Trim, and Exit called as we make it.

Oxford Market Intelligence
Oxford Defence Portfolio
+220%
Model performance since inception (Jan 2023)
★ Conviction Holdings · 10 stocks
Rheinmetall
Rheinmetall
RHM
▲ Hold
BAE Systems
BAE Systems
BAESY
▲ Hold
Thales
Thales
THLEF
★ Add
🔒
+7 more · subscribers only
See all ten the minute you join.
Updated every Monday · Replicate in minutes · Cancel anytime
The thesis

Everyone reads the headlines.
We track who fills the order books.

Gregor Becker
“Every pledge to raise defence spending turns into a multi-year procurement contract. Governments are locking in orders through the 2030s, at a scale we have not seen since the Cold War.”
Gregor Becker - Editor-in-Chief
$2.7T

global defence spending reached in 2024, a record high

€800B

European rearmament plan mobilised through 2030

3.5%

of GDP the new NATO spending target, up from 2%

Gregor Becker
From the founder

“The next decade of European defence spending is already budgeted. The question is not whether these companies grow their revenues. The question is which ones you own when the market finally prices it in.”

Gregor Becker · Editor-in-Chief Oxford Market Intelligence (M.Phil Economics, University of Oxford)
The Oxford Quality Screen

50+ names in. Ten survive the screen.

Concentrated and disciplined by design: every name in the sector gets tracked, and very few clear every gate to earn a place in the portfolio you replicate.

Step 1
50+
Tracked stocks
Land Systems Naval Air & Missile Cyber & EW Munitions
→
Step 2
The quality gates
Market cap ≥ $5bn
ROIC > 10%
Positive free cash flow
Leverage capped

A selection of our filters. The full screen runs deeper.

→
Step 3
Conviction holdings · 10
+220%
Model performance since inception (Jan 2023)
Rheinmetall
RheinmetallRHM
BAE Systems
BAE SystemsBAESY
Thales
ThalesTHLEF
🔒
🔒
🔒
🔒
🔒
🔒
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+7 more · subscribers only
See all ten holdings
What you get every week

Everything you need to run the portfolio yourself.

The picks, the calls, and what's coming next.

01 · Picks & thesis
Weekly Signals

When we add a stock to either the watchlist or the conviction holdings, you receive a full deep-dive: financials, valuations, and entry logic.

Entry rationale and the catalyst that unlocks it
This week's additions
Missile prime
Munitions · 5-year order backlog
Add
Defence cyber firm
Cyber & EW · new NATO framework
Add
02 · The Oxford Stance
Clear calls on conviction holdings.

Every week, every conviction holding gets a clear signal: Hold, Add, Trim, or Exit.

Gregor Becker
"This munitions maker's backlog just cleared five years - that's why we're moving it to the core."
Gregor Becker · Editor-in-Chief (Oxon)
03 · The week ahead
Catalyst Alerts

The earnings, data releases and catalysts that could move each position in the days ahead - so nothing catches you off guard.

Catalyst calendar mapped to your positions
What a beat or miss would mean for the stance
Catalysts this week
TUEMissile prime earnings
THUNATO summit communiqué
FRINaval builder guidance
The math

Institutional-grade research, at a newsletter price.

40+ hrs

of analyst research behind
every weekly issue

$10,000+

what a comparable sector
research seat costs a year

$4.60

a week - roughly the price
of a single coffee

Start following the trades
What subscribers say

Research you can act on.

★★★★★

"The only research that treats defence as an industry, not a headline. The contract-level detail is superb."

J. Whitfield · Wealth adviser, London
★★★★★

"The catalyst calendar is what sets it apart - I know exactly which earnings could move my holdings."

A. Reyes · Portfolio manager, NYC
★★★★★

"Two of my best positions this year came straight from the watchlist. Both up strongly."

E. Lindqvist · Family office, Geneva
★★★★★

"The Oxford Stance column is exactly what I wanted from every analyst I have ever paid. A clear view, not a hedge."

K. Nakamura · Quant analyst, Tokyo
★★★★★

"I have followed European defence stocks for years. This briefing surfaces things I was not tracking. Worth every cent."

E. Feldt · Portfolio manager, Stockholm
Start this week

Own the companies filling Europe's order books.

$19.90/mo (that’s $4.60 a week)

Enter your email and get this week’s holdings, scores and catalysts the moment you subscribe.

Updated weekly. Cancel anytime.

Read by analysts and family offices across 10+ countries.
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Before you subscribe

Questions investors ask us.

Isn't defence spending already priced in?

The primes have re-rated, yes - but the spending runs for a decade and much of it flows to munitions, cyber and suppliers the market still overlooks. We track contracted backlogs, not sentiment, and call an Exit the moment a name outruns its fundamentals.

Do I need to be an expert to follow it?

No. Each week you get a clear Add / Hold / Trim / Exit on every name, the thesis in plain English, and the catalysts to watch.

You place the trades in your own broker and copy the portfolio in minutes.

Do you use AI to produce this?

Yes, but only where it adds value. We use AI to synthesise large volumes of filings, contracts and market data and surface patterns faster.

Every score, stance and thesis is made and checked by our human analysts - AI assists, it never decides.

Do you touch my money?

Never. This is research, not management.

Your assets stay in your own brokerage account, in your name - you decide what to act on and stay in full control.

What could go wrong?

Defence budgets are political. A pledge can slip, an election can reorder priorities, and a signed framework can still take years to turn into delivered revenue - so order-timing risk sits at the centre of this thesis.

Ten holdings in one theme is concentrated by design. A problem across European defence policy hits this whole portfolio at once - it is not a substitute for a diversified core, and a weekly cadence means you will sometimes hold a name through a rough stretch before an Exit call goes out.

There is no guarantee any of this repeats. Past performance and backtests don’t guarantee future results, and nothing here is personal investment advice - you decide what to buy and sell in your own account.

Can I cancel anytime?

Yes. It's a rolling subscription with no lock-in.

Cancel in one click and keep access through the end of the period.